Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 259.345928 293.438651 331.582259 377.657962 432.121805 494.838003 573.082351
2024-10-27 198.691730 240.213126 290.809278 357.851871 445.649195 558.573865 717.920325
2024-11-03 178.923329 226.305145 287.559820 374.281726 496.808990 668.418335 935.846131
2024-11-10 166.259765 218.155447 288.593826 394.052150 553.201419 793.779509 1204.989590
2024-11-17 150.699426 203.389730 277.657737 393.877580 578.876487 876.853567 1428.350333
2024-11-24 135.380081 186.850080 261.624343 382.924830 584.743497 927.790310 1608.407731
2024-12-01 122.997708 173.100055 247.841385 373.028689 589.801351 976.995270 1797.418303
2024-12-08 117.226861 168.506894 247.253429 383.908405 631.427938 1099.473643 2171.420680
2024-12-15 110.273422 161.340450 241.694666 385.417814 656.086087 1194.360301 2517.592634
2024-12-22 102.458923 152.085308 231.749145 377.852943 662.168199 1252.497437 2796.789581
2024-12-29 97.024640 146.168807 226.703378 378.315048 683.738172 1347.968764 3208.844162
2025-01-05 90.717014 138.306457 217.605941 370.112652 686.253163 1401.075513 3525.411141
2025-01-12 86.017334 132.930748 212.607153 369.651424 706.230915 1503.157190 4047.452136
2025-01-19 79.055651 123.252905 199.255033 351.498544 685.098023 1499.902583 4233.245336
2025-01-26 77.660578 123.023216 202.812027 367.451858 743.362131 1717.005728 5312.684760
2025-02-02 76.742858 123.528270 207.716896 386.774955 813.421175 1989.470376 6818.428543
2025-02-09 73.431253 119.497920 203.703111 386.603535 835.698636 2130.291341 7882.844268
2025-02-16 69.159435 113.441694 195.313100 375.904731 829.294431 2180.913267 8563.920087
2025-02-23 65.350279 108.007155 187.738396 366.236348 824.139632 2235.030198 9318.883225
2025-03-02 64.028301 107.102539 189.028077 376.865579 875.923886 2499.853212 11551.594553
2025-03-09 61.839322 104.418335 186.516905 378.340089 902.511731 2685.857120 13546.331805
2025-03-16 58.935447 100.199019 180.560106 370.949763 902.168249 2771.153942 14962.678512
2025-03-23 56.973836 97.682384 177.944384 371.401231 925.439763 2959.459969 17474.299576